I have 1 ETH to put to work in Otherdeeds — Market search, August 31, 2026

THE BIG PICTURE

Floor: 0.067 ETH 30-day low: 0.0676 ETH (essentially flat at the floor) Recent ETH sales median: 0.0999 ETH (9 confirmed ask-side sales in the last 40 prints) WETH bid-hits median: 0.0675 ETH (31 accepted standing bids — the instant-liquidity level, 15% below the ETH median) Psychology: Sellers are anchoring near recent highs (0.1–0.17 range for substance deeds), while buyers are patient — the bid wall sits just above the floor, and most volume is coming from holders accepting those standing offers rather than ask-side discovery. The spread between ETH sales (0.0999) and WETH exits (0.0675) is 32% — a wide gap that says holders who wait get paid, but holders who need out now take the bid.

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WHERE THE VALUE IS

I scanned 589 live listings across all price bands. The model finds the strongest relative value in resource-dense deeds (3-4 filled slots with tier-2/tier-3 deposits) and Biogenic Swamp carriers — both segments where asks currently sit below or near model value, while rare-resource carriers and artifacts run 10–30% above. Here's what the numbers support, segment by segment.

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1. PURE RESOURCE GAMER — deposit density per ETH

Model math: Floor 0.067 × 1.15136 (fitted base) × 1.172 (4 slots filled) × 1.047–1.065 (deposit-tier bonuses) = 0.116–0.118 ETH Segment median (3-4 slot commons, 30-day ETH sales): 0.1295 ETH (n=328) Cheapest live listings: 0.08–0.1223 ETH The resource game is the utility thesis: when land production ships in 2026, filled resource slots convert to productive assets. The market currently pays a flat premium for "4 slots filled" regardless of deposit quality — but the model prices deposit tiers separately, and two tier-3 deposits are worth more than four tier-1s if future mechanics weight tiers nonlinearly (purely speculative until Yuga releases official mechanics). These picks maximize deposit substance per ETH. #11265 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #11265 Ask: 0.08 ETH · Model: 0.0994 ETH — 19.5% under Slots (three filled, all common): Nether — T2 deposit · 3,481 of 11,248 Nether deposits are T2 (1,943 are T3, the scarcest tier) Whisper — T1 deposit · 5,803 of 11,289 are T1 Kinsoul — T2 deposit · 3,383 of 10,998 are T2 Resource rank: #42,143 of 100,000 — top 42%, with two tier-2 deposits (the middle tier; only ~31% of deposits reach T2 or T3) Environment: Splinter — Harsh family, common band (4,909 exist across both collections; 12th most common of 29 environments), tier 1 (smallest plot) Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 (base) × 1.047 (ct2_ge2: two T2+ deposits) × 1.072 (slots3) × 1.021 (dens5) × 1.021 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0994 ETH This estimate is driven by the three filled slots and the two tier-2 deposits — the model adds 7.2% for three slots and another 4.7% for the second tier-2 deposit. The environment and plot size contribute almost nothing (Splinter is common, tier 1 is the smallest plot), so you're paying for the resource game and getting the land wrapper near-free. Thesis: The cheapest 3-slot deed with two tier-2 deposits in the entire scan. The segment's 30-day median is 0.1295 ETH (n=328 sales), so this ask sits 38% below where similar deeds have been clearing. If the resource system weights deposit tiers at all, two T2s beat four T1s — and this configuration is priced as if deposit quality doesn't matter. GOOD VALUE— 19.5% under model with real deposit depth

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#98458 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #98458 Ask: 0.1223 ETH · Model: 0.1179 ETH — 3.7% over (inside normal model variation) Slots (all four filled, all common): Lumileaf — T1 deposit Spikeweed — T3 deposit · 1,976 of 11,005 Spikeweed deposits are T3 Psychosilk — T2 deposit Whisper — T3 deposit · 1,977 of 11,289 are T3 Resource rank: #19,468 of 100,000 — top 19%, with two tier-3 deposits (the largest deposit size; only 3.97% of all deeds have 2+ T3s) Environment: Sulfuric — Volcanic family, common band (4,028 exist), tier 2 Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 × 1.019 (ct3_ge1) × 1.047 (ct3_ge2: second T3 deposit) × 1.172 (slots4: all four filled) × 1.065 (dens8p) × 1.042 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.1179 ETH This estimate is driven by the four filled slots (+17.2%) and the two tier-3 deposits (+4.7% for the second one). The model's published range for this segment is 0.092–0.1886 ETH (80% of past sales cleared 0.767x–1.4888x model), so this ask sits dead-center in the realized distribution. Thesis: The maximum: all four slots filled, two tier-3 deposits. Only 8.8% of all deeds have four slots filled, and only 3.97% have 2+ tier-3 deposits — this deed is both. If future mechanics reward deposit size, this configuration is the top of the resource-game ladder. The ask is 5% below the segment's 30-day median (0.1295 ETH), and you're getting the richest deposit profile available at entry-level pricing. FAIR PRICE— 3.7% over model, inside the segment's normal spread

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#55543 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #55543 Ask: 0.111 ETH · Model: 0.1159 ETH — 4.2% under Slots (all four filled, all common): Psychosilk — T2 deposit Brimstone — T1 deposit Whisper — T2 deposit Runa — T1 deposit Resource rank: #41,864 of 100,000 — top 42%, with all four slots filled and two tier-2 deposits Environment: Wastes — Harsh family, common band (3,976 exist), tier 2 Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 × 1.047 (ct2_ge2) × 1.172 (slots4) × 1.065 (dens6) × 1.043 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.1159 ETH Four slots filled, two tier-2 deposits. The model adds 17.2% for the fourth slot and 4.7% for the second tier-2 deposit. The ask sits 14% below the segment median (0.1295 ETH) and 4.2% below the model — a clean entry into the 4-slot game. FAIR PRICE— 4.2% under model with maximum slot count

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2. ALL-ROUNDER — rare resource + Biogenic Swamp, the balanced play

Model math: Floor × base × 1.332 (Biogenic) × 1.179–1.33 (rare resource, tier-dependent) = 0.16–0.17 ETH for a tier-1 rare on Biogenic Segment median (Biogenic, 30-day ETH sales): 0.174 ETH (n=190) Segment median (1+ rare resource, 30-day ETH sales): 0.2 ETH (n=265) Biogenic Swamp is the scarcest sediment (10,000 exist — half the supply of any other sediment) and the innermost ring on the map, literally surrounding the BAYC Clubhouse. The premium is real: Biogenic deeds trade at a 33% model multiplier and a 0.174 ETH median versus 0.0949 for plain deeds. Rare resources are the 60 low-supply types (139–735 carrier deeds each, versus ~11,000 for the 14 commons) — 20,958 deeds carry at least one rare resource (20.96% of the collection), but 2,776 sit in never-sell whale wallets and 1,615 more with dormant large holders, so only ~16,567 are functionally available. #9092 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #9092 Ask: 0.1596 ETH · Model: 0.1724 ETH — 7.4% under Slots (three filled, one rare): Petrified — common, T2 deposit Moldium — common, T3 deposit · 1,972 of 11,171 Moldium deposits are T3 Nebula — RARE · T1 deposit · 667 exist across both collections (354 are T1, only 121 are T3) Resource rank: #16,376 of 100,000 — top 16%, with one rare resource and one tier-3 common deposit Environment: Steppes — Spirit family, common band (5,787 exist), tier 2 Sediment: Biogenic Swamp — the rarest sediment (10,000 exist; 279 hard-locked + 352 soft-locked → ~9,369 functionally available), Sediment Tier 2 of 3 Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 × 1.332 (bio) × 1.179 (rare_t1) × 1.019 (ct3_ge1) × 1.072 (slots3) × 1.065 (dens6) × 1.106 (res_scarce_grad) × 1.004 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.1724 ETH This estimate is driven by the Biogenic sediment (+33%) and the rare resource (+17.9% for a tier-1 rare, plus a 10.6% scarcity gradient because Nebula is mid-pack among rares at 667 supply). The tier-3 common deposit adds another 1.9%. The model's published range for this segment is 0.1241–0.2845 ETH (rare-resource segment spread), so this ask sits in the lower third of the distribution. Thesis: Two scarcity theses in one deed — Biogenic (10,000 exist, the scarcest sediment and the center-of-map land) and a rare resource (Nebula, 667 exist). The Biogenic segment's 30-day median is 0.174 ETH (n=190), and the rare-resource segment's is 0.2 ETH (n=265) — this ask sits below both. You're getting the Biogenic proximity premium and the rare-resource utility play for 20% less than the rare-resource median. This is the cheapest listed Nebula carrier in the entire market (12 Nebula carriers are listed; the next-cheapest asks 0.1637 ETH). FAIR PRICE— 7.4% under model, combining Biogenic scarcity and a rare resource

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3. BUILDER'S DEED — plot size and environment rarity

Model math: Floor × base × 1.022–1.311 (tier 4–5) × 1.178 (rare environment) = 0.09–0.13 ETH for a large plot in a common environment, 0.14+ for a rare environment Segment median (env tier 4-5, 30-day ETH sales): 0.1333 ETH (n=499) Environment Tier is plot size: tier 1 = smallest plot, tier 5 = largest. Within every environment, ~30% of deeds are tier 1 and only ~10% are tier 5 — bigger lands are rarer. Plot size is the builder axis: buyers who want land to build on or host events pay up for tier-4/5 plots. The one-year anniversary was hosted ON a built-out deed, so deeds are now real, visitable spaces. Tier is more than raw acreage: each tier ships with progressively richer default graphical assets — a tier-5 arrives as an elaborate built-out scene with far more structures and flora out of the box, so it's a better-looking, more visitable space on day one AND has more room to add features on top. The rare-environment trio (Acid, Luster, Botanical) and the second-tier scarce environments (Sludge, Shadow, Obsidian) are the scarcity play for builders — a large plot in a genuinely rare environment is a doubly scarce venue. But the scan found zero rare-environment deeds listed under 0.5 ETH (complete scan of all 649 listings ≤0.5), so the builder segment at your budget is common-environment large plots. #89086 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #89086 Ask: 0.0745 ETH · Model: 0.0898 ETH — 17% under Environment: Sands — Spirit family, common band (4,339 exist; 599 hard-locked + 198 soft-locked → ~3,542 functionally available), tier 4 (large plot; 385 tier-4 Sands exist, only 385 tier-5) Slots: one filled (Oblivion, T1) Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 × 1.022 (tier4) × 1.034 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0898 ETH The estimate is driven by the tier-4 plot size (+2.2%). The model adds almost nothing for the single common resource slot. The environment is common-band (Sands is the 12th most common environment), so the scarcity gradient adds only 3.4%. Thesis: The cheapest tier-4 plot in the entire scan. The segment's 30-day median is 0.1333 ETH (n=499 sales), so this ask sits 44% below where large plots have been clearing. You're buying buildable land at a 17% discount to the model, and the resource game is irrelevant here — the plot size is the whole story. If you want a large deed to build on or host in, this is the entry. GOOD VALUE— 17% under model, the cheapest large plot available

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4. MULTI-TIER-3 DEPOSITS — the speculative depth play

Model math: Floor × base × 1.019 (ct3_ge1) × 1.047 (ct3_ge2: second T3 deposit) = 0.10–0.11 ETH Segment median (multi-T3, 30-day ETH sales): 0.167 ETH (n=70) Only 3.97% of all deeds have 2+ tier-3 deposits. If future mechanics weight deposit tiers nonlinearly (purely speculative), multiple tier-3 deposits would be disproportionately valuable — the model already prices a second T3 at a 4.7% premium, and the market pays a 29% premium over plain deeds (0.167 vs 0.0949 median). #12995 · OpenSea · Mr. Deeds #12995 Ask: 0.11 ETH · Model: 0.0998 ETH — 10.2% over (inside normal model variation) Slots (two filled, both tier-3): Runa — T3 deposit · 1,974 of 11,086 Runa deposits are T3 Whisper — T3 deposit · 1,977 of 11,289 are T3 Resource rank: #22,520 of 100,000 — top 23%, with two tier-3 deposits Environment: Sands — tier 3 Model estimate: 0.0738 × 1.15136 × 1.019 (ct3_ge1) × 1.047 (ct3_ge2) × 1.065 (dens6) × 1.034 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0998 ETH Two tier-3 deposits, nothing else. The model adds 1.9% for the first T3 and 4.7% for the second. The model's published range for this segment is 0.0778–0.1597 ETH (80% of past sales cleared 0.767x–1.4888x model), so this ask sits in the middle of the distribution. The segment's 30-day median is 0.167 ETH (n=70), so this ask is 34% below where multi-T3 deeds have been clearing. Thesis: The cheapest two-tier-3 deed in the scan. If deposit tiers matter at all in the resource system, this configuration is the speculative bet — two of the largest deposits, priced 34% below the segment median. The ask is 10% over model, but the model's range is wide (0.078–0.16) because the segment is thin (only 70 sales in 30 days), so the 10% premium is inside normal variation. FAIR PRICE— 10.2% over model, the cheapest multi-T3 configuration available

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WHAT'S OVERVALUED

Rare-resource carriers above 0.155 ETH without additional drivers (tier-4/5, Biogenic, or multi-rare) are not supported by the model. The rare-resource segment's 30-day median is 0.2 ETH (n=265), but the model prices single tier-1 rares at 0.118–0.14 ETH depending on the wrapper. Asks above 0.155 for a plain tier-1 rare (no Biogenic, no large plot, no second rare) are running 25–30% over model — the segment's wide spread (0.71x–1.65x model) means some buyers overpay, but the numbers don't support those asks as fair value today. Artifact deeds without resource substance run 10–20% over model in the 0.1–0.15 range. Common-class artifacts (Rugged Hammer/Axe/Shovel/Pickaxe, Banana Peel, Ancient Coin — 900–1,000 exist each) carry a measured 40% premium (×1.402 in the model), but that premium is flat in ETH regardless of the deed under it. A common artifact on a plain deed is priced at 0.12–0.14 ETH by the model, and asks above 0.14 without a rare resource or tier-4/5 plot are not supported by recent sales. Plain deeds (zero rare resources, <3 slots, tier 1-3, no artifact) above 0.095 ETH are priced above the segment median (0.0949 ETH, n=621). The floor is 0.067 ETH, and the model prices plain deeds at 0.085–0.09 ETH depending on environment — asks above 0.095 are in the top quartile of the plain segment and are not value entries.

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BOTTOM LINE — ranked by where the model finds value

Combined asks of the top picks: 0.08 + 0.1223 + 0.1596 + 0.0745 = 0.4364 ETH of the stated 1 ETH That leaves 0.5636 ETH unallocated. The profile that remainder fits in the data: another rare-resource deed (the segment median is 0.2 ETH, so 0.56 ETH would buy 2-3 more rare carriers), or a Biogenic tier-4/5 deed if one appears (none listed under 0.5 ETH today), or held for the next below-model entry in any of the above segments. What these change in your counts (if you deploy the four picks above): Resource-game exposure: 0 → 3 deeds with 3-4 filled slots (top 42% of the collection by deposit density) Rare-resource carriers: 0 → 1 (Nebula on #9092) Multi-T3 deposits: 0 → 2 deeds (#98458 with two T3s, #12995 with two T3s) Biogenic carriers: 0 → 1 (#9092) Large plots (tier 4-5): 0 → 1 (#89086, tier 4) Where the numbers line up best: 1. Resource-dense deeds (3-4 slots, multi-T2/T3 deposits) — #11265 at 0.08 ETH (19.5% under model), #98458 at 0.1223 (3.7% over, inside normal variation), #55543 at 0.111 (4.2% under). The segment median is 0.1295 ETH, and these three asks average 0.1044 ETH — 19% below the median. If the resource system ships and deposit tiers matter, this configuration is the utility play. 2. Biogenic + rare resource — #9092 at 0.1596 ETH (7.4% under model), combining the scarcest sediment (10,000 exist, center-of-map land) and a rare resource (Nebula, 667 exist). The Biogenic median is 0.174 ETH and the rare-resource median is 0.2 ETH — this ask sits below both. 3. Large plots (tier 4-5) — #89086 at 0.0745 ETH (17% under model), the cheapest tier-4 plot in the entire scan. The segment median is 0.1333 ETH, so this ask is 44% below where large plots have been clearing. If you want buildable land, this is the entry. WELL ABOVE MODEL: Plain deeds (zero rare resources, <3 slots, tier 1-3, no artifact) asking above 0.095 ETH are priced in the top quartile of the plain segment (median 0.0949 ETH, n=621) — the numbers don't support those asks as value entries.

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WHAT PATIENCE LOOKS LIKE

The spread between ETH sales (0.0999 median) and WETH bid-hits (0.0675 median) is 32% — sellers who wait get paid, but the occasional fire-sale prices (the 30-day low of 0.0676 ETH) are mostly captured by automated bid bots. A passive trait offer on OpenSea will typically be outbid by automated ladders within minutes, so "set an offer and wait" is weaker than it sounds. The realistic paths to value are: Watch listings and expect fast clearing when a well-priced deed appears — this is exactly what a Deed Alert is for, since listings cannot be front-run by offer bots the way offers can.the numbers support offers ABOVE the bot ladders (near model value, not at the historic lows) — the 30-day lows are history, not achievable targets for a patient human buyer. Watchlist starter (profiles worth alerting on, wired to the free Deed Alert at mrdeeds.xyz): Resource game: 4 slots + 2+ T3 deposits under 0.13 ETH (only #98458 fits today at 0.1223)Rare resource: any rare resource at T2+ under 0.18 ETH (the segment median is 0.2, so 0.18 is a 10% discount)Biogenic: Biogenic + 2+ filled slots under 0.15 ETH (the segment median is 0.174, so 0.15 is a 14% discount)Builder: tier 4-5 in a scarce environment (Sludge, Shadow, Obsidian, or the rare trio) under 0.25 ETH (none exist today)Watch #9092 at any price — the cheapest Nebula carrier, currently 0.1596 ETH

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Prices move fast, and this is automated market information and statistical model opinion — not investment, financial, or legal advice.