Is now a good time to buy, or should I sell some of my deeds? — Market search, August 31, 2026

You're asking about the state of the market right now — whether the tape favors buyers waiting or sellers moving. The current structure is more consistent with a buyer's market than an accelerating one: sellers are accepting discounts to clear, and the bid-side level sits materially below where ask-side transactions print.

THE MARKET IN 30 SECONDS

MARKET READ: NEUTRAL-TO-SOFT — the numbers support patience for commodity deeds and selective action on scarce configurations that rarely list. Floor: 0.067 ETH 30-day ask-side low: 0.06763 ETH (floor sits 0.9% below that) Recent sales (40 transactions): 11 ETH sales (ask-side clears, median 0.0999) · 29 WETH bid-hits (sellers accepting standing bids, median 0.0674) Transaction mix: 72.5% of recent transactions were sellers hitting standing bids — the immediate-liquidity exit, not price discovery Spread between execution regimes: the WETH bid-side median sits at 67.5% of the ask-side ETH median — a 32.5% discount to clear immediately One line of psychology: sellers are accepting discounts to move deeds now; buyers holding firm offers are capturing most of the volume.

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WHAT THE TAPE IS SAYING

The transaction structure tells the story. Of the 40 most recent confirmed sales, 29 were WETH bid-hits — holders accepting standing bids rather than waiting for an ask-side buyer. Only 11 were ETH sales (actual ask-side price discovery). The ask-side median sits at 0.0999 ETH; the bid-side median at 0.0674 ETH. That 32.5% spread is the cost of immediacy right now: a seller who wants out today takes 0.067; a seller willing to list and wait clears closer to 0.10. The floor proxy (0.067 ETH) sits fractionally below the 30-day ask-side low (0.06763 ETH) — effectively flat. The floor is not accelerating, and it is not collapsing; it is holding a narrow band while most volume clears on the bid side. Listing depth context (from the market snapshot as of 2026-08-29): the model scanned 501 live Expanded listings. Segment medians from that window — Biogenic 0.174 ETH (n=190 ETH sales), 1+ rare resource 0.2 (n=265), artifacts 0.1537 (n=408), plain deeds 0.0949 (n=621). The bid-hit regime ran at a 0.9754 median premium vs the ask-side 1.1542 — sellers accepting bids took ~2.5% below the floor proxy on average, while ask-side buyers paid ~15% above it. How recent prints sit vs model: the snapshot shows segment lows mostly captured by standing bids — the 30-day lows in every segment are WETH prints, not ETH sales. Ask-side clears have been landing closer to segment medians than segment lows, and those medians sit modestly above model in most segments (the fitted model's base intercept is 0.989, implying the average ask-side sale clears fractionally below the model's trait-sum estimate).

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THE CASE EITHER WAY

Evidence consistent with firmer or stable prices: The floor has held a tight 0.0670–0.0676 band over the recent window — no capitulation, no forced-sale cascadeAsk-side ETH sales (the 11 price-discovery prints) have a median of 0.0999 — well above the floor and well above the bid-side level, showing patient sellers are still clearing at premiumsSegment medians for value-bearing deeds (Biogenic 0.174, rare resources 0.2, artifacts 0.1537) sit materially above the floor — scarcity segments are not tracking the commodity level downThe bid-hit median (0.0674) has not slipped below the floor — standing bids are holding their level, not falling Evidence consistent with softer or stagnant prices: 72.5% of recent volume is bid-side clears — sellers are choosing immediacy over price, a sign of weak conviction or liquidity needThe floor sits fractionally below the 30-day ask-side low — no upward momentum, and the lowest ask-side print of the window (0.06763) is still the reference pointThe spread between ask-side and bid-side execution is 32.5% — wide enough that most sellers are opting for the discount rather than waiting, implying thin ask-side demandThe model's base intercept (0.989) and the segment-median structure suggest asks are meeting resistance — buyers are not chasing, they are waiting for deeds to come to them On balance: the current tape is more consistent with a buyer's market than an accelerating one. Volume is clearing on the bid side at a discount, the floor is flat, and ask-side prints are sparse. Sellers holding firm asks are clearing, but slowly; sellers accepting bids are clearing immediately at a 30%+ haircut.

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SHOULD YOU WAIT?

The answer depends on what you are buying or selling. If you are looking at plain / commodity deeds (common environments, small plots, zero or one common resource, no artifact): supply depth is enormous — tens of thousands of such deeds exist, hundreds are listed at any time, and the bid-side level (0.0674 median) shows where immediate liquidity sits. Patience costs you nothing here: the configuration you want will list again tomorrow and next week, and the current tape shows sellers coming to the market more often than buyers are chasing. The numbers support waiting for a better entry or placing a standing bid near the WETH median (0.067–0.070) and letting a deed come to you. The 30-day ask-side low was 0.06763; the bid-side median is 0.0674 — those are the boundaries of realistic plain-deed entries right now. If you are targeting a specific scarce configuration (rare-trio environment at tier 4-5, multi-rare deed, rare-class artifact, Biogenic with substance): scarce segments do not track the floor, and genuinely good listings disappear — the functional supply of a 1-of-150 intersection is a handful of deeds, and when one lists at model value or below, it clears to the first buyer who sees it. The recent-sales medians show scarcity segments holding premiums (Biogenic 0.174, rare resources 0.2) even while the floor sits flat. For these profiles, waiting for "the market to drop" is the wrong frame — you are not buying the market, you are buying one of 93 deeds, and the next time one lists well it may be months from now. The numbers support acting on a fair ask when it appears, and using a Deed Alert (free at mrdeeds.xyz) configured for your exact profile so you see it the day it lists. Automated bid ladders compete for underpriced scarcity — a human waiting for a fire-sale price usually never sees it, because the bots do. If you are buying for cheap broad exposure (building a position, not chasing a specific deed): the bid-side level (0.0674 median) is where most deeds are clearing right now, and it sits 32.5% below where patient ask-side sales print. If you are comfortable with commodity deeds and want to deploy capital at the market's absolute bottom, placing standing WETH bids near 0.067–0.070 on plain deeds puts you in the same position as the automated ladders — you become the liquidity, and sellers in a hurry come to you. The tape shows this is working: 29 of 40 recent transactions cleared that way. If you are holding deeds and considering selling: the same structure applies in reverse. A patient listing at model value or modestly above (for a deed with real scarcity drivers) will clear, but slowly — the ask-side median (0.0999) is real, but it is 11 transactions over the recent window, not 29. If you need liquidity now, the bid-side level (0.0674 for plain deeds, higher for segments with scarcity) is the immediate-exit price. If you can wait, list at a defensible ask and let the market come to you — but know that "defensible" means model-supported, not aspirational, and the current tape shows buyers are not chasing.

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WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS READ

No model reliably calls the next move in a thin market — here is what we are watching. Signals that would read FIRMER: Ask-side ETH sales outnumbering WETH bid-hits in the transaction mix — if the ratio flips from 11/29 to 20/20 or better, buyers are chasing rather than waitingThe floor rising on ask-side volume — a new floor set by an ETH sale, not a WETH bid-hit, with multiple ask-side prints confirming itModel discounts closing — if the cheapest below-model listings (currently 10–20% under in many segments) start clearing and the next wave of asks sits closer to model valueThe WETH bid-side median rising — if standing bids ladder up from 0.0674 to 0.075+, it signals automated buyers are competing more aggressively Signals that would read SOFTER: The WETH bid-side level slipping below 0.065 — if the median accepted bid drops from 0.0674 to 0.060 or lower, the immediate-liquidity floor is fallingListing inventory growing faster than it clears — if the live listing count (501 as of the snapshot) climbs materially while sales volume stays flat, supply is overwhelming demandAsk-side prints landing near bid-side levels — if the next wave of ETH sales clears at 0.070–0.075 instead of 0.095–0.10, the spread is compressing downward and sellers are chasing the bidSegment medians compressing toward the floor — if Biogenic, rare-resource, and artifact medians (currently 0.174 / 0.2 / 0.1537) drift down toward 0.10–0.12, scarcity premiums are eroding The free Deed Alert at mrdeeds.xyz is the way to watch this without watching it: configure an alert for the profile you want (rare resource T2+ under 0.2, Biogenic T4+ under 0.25, any specific environment or artifact), and you will get pinged the day a matching deed lists. Seven days of coverage, renewable — it is how you act on value the day it appears rather than discovering it three days after it sold.

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IF THE NUMBERS TEMPT YOU ANYWAY

A handful of below-model listings exist right now if the numbers tempt you — but these are commodity deeds (common environments, common resources or none, small-to-mid plots), and the tape shows such deeds will list again tomorrow and next week. The current structure favors patience for this profile. #11265 — 0.08 ETH ask · model 0.0994 ETH · 19.5% under OpenSea | Mr. Deeds #11265 Slots (three filled, all common): Nether — T2 deposit · 3,481 of 11,248 Nether deposits are T2 Whisper — T1 deposit · 5,803 of 11,289 Whisper deposits are T1 Kinsoul — T2 deposit · 3,383 of 10,998 Kinsoul deposits are T2 Resource rank: #42,143 of 100,000 · near range 34,617–42,176 Environment: Splinter — Harsh family, common band (4,909 exist; 751 hard-locked + 230 soft-locked → ~3,928 functionally available) Environment Tier: 1 of 5 — smallest plot Sediment: Chemical Goo — 2nd rarest of 5, Sediment Tier 1 of 3 Model fair value: 0.0738 × 1.15136 (fitted base) × 1.047 (ct2_ge2: two tier-2 deposits) × 1.072 (slots3: three filled slots) × 1.021 (dens5) × 1.021 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0994 ETH FAIR VALUErange 0.0905–0.1083 ETH (centered on 0.0994) Why: three filled slots with two tier-2 deposits — consistent mid-tier deposit depth on a small plot. The resource game is the story; the environment and plot size contribute nothing. GOOD VALUE— 19.5% under model with real deposit depth for the price

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#56441 — 0.07 ETH ask · model 0.0869 ETH · 19.4% under OpenSea | Mr. Deeds #56441 Slots (one filled, common): Nether — T3 deposit · 1,943 of 11,248 Nether deposits are T3 (the scarcest tier) Resource rank: #38,823 of 100,000 · near range 32,525–45,653 Environment: Steppes — Spirit family, common band (5,787 exist; 889 hard-locked + 283 soft-locked → ~4,615 functionally available) Environment Tier: 3 of 5 — mid-size plot Sediment: Infinite Expanse — most common of 5, Sediment Tier 1 of 3 Model fair value: 0.0738 × 1.15136 (fitted base) × 1.019 (ct3_ge1: one tier-3 deposit) × 1.004 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0869 ETH FAIR VALUErange 0.0791–0.0947 ETH (centered on 0.0869) Why: one tier-3 common deposit on a tier-3 plot — the deposit tier is the only value driver here (1,943 of 11,248 Nether deposits are tier 3, so this is the scarcest tier of a common resource). Everything else is baseline. GOOD VALUE— 19.4% under model with a tier-3 deposit

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#89086 — 0.0745 ETH ask · model 0.0898 ETH · 17% under OpenSea | Mr. Deeds #89086 Slots (one filled, common): Oblivion — T1 deposit · 5,570 of 10,911 Oblivion deposits are T1 (the most common tier) Resource rank: #74,633 of 100,000 · near range 74,633–74,633 Environment: Sands — Spirit family, common band (4,339 exist; 599 hard-locked + 198 soft-locked → ~3,542 functionally available) Environment Tier: 4 of 5 — large plot (668 Sands tier-4 deeds exist; 108 hard-locked + 21 soft-locked → ~539 functionally available) Sediment: Cosmic Dream — 2nd most common of 5, Sediment Tier 3 of 3 Model fair value: 0.0738 × 1.15136 (fitted base) × 1.022 (tier4: large plot) × 1.034 (env_scarce_grad) = 0.0898 ETH FAIR VALUErange 0.0817–0.0979 ETH (centered on 0.0898) Why: a tier-4 plot — the builder's lens. The resource slot is minimal (one tier-1 common deposit), so this is a plot-size play, not a resource-game entry. GOOD VALUE— 17% under model; the large plot is the story

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BOTTOM LINE

The current tape is more consistent with a buyer's market than an accelerating one. Most volume (72.5% of recent transactions) is clearing on the bid side at a 32.5% discount to ask-side prints — sellers are choosing immediacy over price. The floor is flat, ask-side demand is sparse, and the spread between execution regimes is wide. For commodity deeds (plain environments, small plots, common resources), the numbers support patience or placing standing bids near the WETH median (0.067–0.070) and letting deeds come to you. The three listings above are below model, but they are also one-deep in a market where hundreds of similar deeds exist — waiting costs you nothing. For scarce configurations (rare environments at tier 4-5, multi-rare deeds, rare artifacts, Biogenic with substance), the tape is different: those segments hold premiums even while the floor sits flat, and genuinely good listings disappear to the first buyer who sees them. The numbers support acting on a fair ask when it appears, and using a Deed Alert (free at mrdeeds.xyz) so you see it the day it lists. If you are holding deeds and considering selling: a patient listing at model value will clear, but slowly — the ask-side median (0.0999 ETH) is real, but it is 11 transactions over the recent window, not 29. If you need liquidity now, the bid-side level (0.0674 for plain deeds, higher for scarcity segments) is the immediate-exit price. If you can wait, list at a defensible ask (model-supported, not aspirational) and let the market come to you.

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Prices move fast, and this is automated market information and statistical model opinion — not investment, financial, or legal advice.