How BAYC estimates work

Estimates use the whole Ape’s trait combination, fitted to 9,040 eligible sales before 2026-09-20 14:32 UTC, scaled to a verified ETH floor. Trait effects are joint associations; they are not independent price tags.

Sale evidence

Compromised-wallet sales are excluded from both model inputs and displayed comparisons. The history combines OpenSea-indexed events with OSWiki reconciliation and additional receipt-checked sales. Some older observations remain source-reported rather than independently verified on-chain. Identified unresolved bundles, swaps and economic routes are held out. ETH and WETH keep their currency labels. WETH alone does not show that a sale accepted a bid.

Sources and OTC coverage

OpenSea and OSWiki are data sources, not broker labels. They include indexed trades executed through OpenSea and other markets such as Blur. Yuga’s BAYC Trade / Grails OTC transactions can be included when their settlement is indexed and passes the sale review; a Seaport settlement may be labeled OpenSea. There is no complete direct Grails trade feed here. NFT swaps and unallocated bundles do not receive invented ETH sale prices.

Trait accuracy

All 10,000 Apes and seven trait categories were checked against BAYC’s immutable original IPFS metadata on September 20, 2026. The 441 imported Eyes labels “3” were corrected to “3d,” giving 487 Apes with that trait. The model was refitted with the corrected metadata and the same sales, cutoff and settings.

What the ranges mean

Experimental trade ranges are not validated confidence intervals. Ordinary-Ape accuracy does not establish rare-Ape precision. A checked ask below an estimate is a comparison between a listing and a model, not proof of a bargain.

Listing coverage

OpenSea listings only; Blur listings shown on OpenSea may be lower. Asking prices here come from OpenSea’s listing feed and do not cover every marketplace.

Freshness

Checked listings expire after five minutes or when their order expires. Estimates are unavailable once the verified floor is over 48 hours old or the reviewed model is over seven days old. Burned Apes and unsupported trait combinations receive no estimate. No substitute Deed or Koda price is used.

Wallets and alerts

Wallet counts are compared with the on-chain BAYC balance. Incomplete inventories have no portfolio subtotal. BAYC totals stay separate from Deeds and Kodas. Alerts pause when the data needed for their filters is unavailable.