How is the otherside market? what are the trends? what should I be looking at for buying my… — Market search, August 12, 2026

THE BIG PICTURE

Floor: 0.0867 ETH (Otherdeed Expanded) · 24h Volume: 1.48 ETH The market is GRINDING SIDEWAYS with downward pressure. Recent sales show a clear two-tier pattern: ETH (ask-side) sales — real price discovery — have been printing at 0.0957–0.36 ETH (median 0.1101 across 15 ETH sales), while WETH bid-hits (sellers accepting standing bids) cluster at 0.075–0.085 ETH (median 0.0842 across 25 bid-hits). That gap tells the story: sellers are anchoring asks above 0.1, buyers are waiting, and automated bidders are capturing the forced exits below 0.08. The 180-day trend shows the floor RISING from a median 0.0828 in the first half to 0.1197 in the second half, but the very recent days (Aug 2-4) have pulled back to 0.089–0.1039 medians — a short-term softening after the mid-year run. Buyer psychology: patient. Seller psychology: firm on asks, but the WETH bid-hit volume (25 vs 15 ETH sales over the last 40 prints) shows liquidity-needing holders are exiting into the bid wall rather than waiting for ask-side buyers.

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WHERE THE VALUE IS

I scanned 161 listings ≤0.15 ETH (complete coverage), 246 listings ≤0.2 ETH (complete), and 296 listings ≤0.25 ETH (complete) across the key segments. Here's what the numbers support:

1. RARE RESOURCES — the utility thesis, ZERO clean listings under 0.15

Model fair value for a single rare resource (tier 1): 0.0887 × 1.136 (base) × 1.137 (rare_t1) × res_scarce_grad (1.03–1.44 depending on the resource's supply) = ~0.115–0.165 ETH for a plain deed with one rare at tier 1. Tier-2 rares command x1.397; tier-3 rares x1.694 — the deposit tier is a PRIMARY value driver. What exists: zero rare-resource deeds under 0.15 in a complete scan of 161 listings. The cheapest rare-carrying deed is 0.165 ETH (a tier-1 rare on a common environment). The segment's 30-day low from the snapshot: 0.069 ETH — but that's a WETH bid-hit (a seller dumping into a standing offer), not an achievable ask-side price for a patient buyer. The ETH-sale median for 1+ rare resources over the 180-day window: 0.1987 ETH (301 sales, low 0.069). Thesis: the resource system is coming online in 2026 — rare resources (the 60 types with 152–772 supply each, versus the 14 commons at ~11,000 each) are the speculative crafting/harvesting play. A deed carrying ANY of the 60 rare types sits in the top 21% of the collection by resource scarcity. Tier-3 rare deposits are ~2.5× scarcer than tier-1 (only 4,106 deeds have a rare resource at tier 3 vs 10,212 at tier 1). The market currently pays a flat premium for "rare resource" regardless of tier — a mispricing the numbers expose. Finding: rare resources are WELL ABOVE MODEL at current asks. The cheapest available (0.165) sits 40% over the model's 0.118 for that deed. Skip rare-resource deeds unless you're willing to pay 0.165+ and wait for utility to validate the premium.

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2. FOUR FILLED SLOTS — the pure resource-game play, STRONG VALUE EXISTS

Model fair value for 4 common slots (no tier-3 deposits): 0.0887 × 1.136 × 1.132 (shape_slots4) × deposit-density factor (1.038–1.079) = ~0.121–0.155 ETH depending on deposit tiers. Segment sales: 4-slot common-resource deeds (no rare, no artifact) median 0.1249 ETH over 315 ETH sales in the 180-day window (low 0.066). #28665 · OpenSea Listing #28665 | Mr. Deeds #28665 Ask: 0.13 ETH · model 0.131 — 0.8% under Slots (four filled, all common): Bonestone — T1 deposit · 5,768 of 11,238 Bonestone deposits are T1Oblivion — T1 deposit · 5,570 of 10,911 are T1Kinsoul — T1 deposit · 5,763 of 10,998 are T1Lumileaf — T3 deposit · 2,016 of 11,350 are T3 (the scarcest tier) Environment: Glacia — Harsh family, common band (2nd most common of 29 environments) · Tier 1 of 5 Sediment: Chemical Goo (2nd rarest of 5) · Sediment Tier 3 of 3 (the scarcest tier within Chemical Goo) Why: maximum resource capacity (4 of 4 slots filled — only 8.8% of deeds have all four), one tier-3 deposit (top 3.97% of the collection), and the ask sits right at model value. This is the pure resource-gamer play: no scarcity collecting, just utility substance at a fair price. STRONG VALUE— ask at model, max slots filled

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#32496 · OpenSea Listing #32496 | Mr. Deeds #32496 Ask: 0.1332 ETH · model 0.1553 — 14% under Slots (four filled, all tier-2 common deposits): Lumileaf — T2 deposit · 3,536 of 11,350 are T2Oblivion — T2 deposit · 3,406 of 10,911 are T2Moldium — T2 deposit · 3,477 of 11,171 are T2Runa — T2 deposit · 3,434 of 11,086 are T2 Environment: Mallow — Psychedelic family, mid-band · Tier 1 of 5 Sediment: Cosmic Dream (2nd most common of 5) · Sediment Tier 1 of 3 Why: all four slots filled with tier-2 deposits (deposit density 8 — top ~10% of the collection by deposit quality). The model's deposit-density factor (x1.079) and slots-filled premium (x1.132) push fair value to 0.1553, and the ask sits 14% below that. Better resource substance than the all-T1 deed above, priced 2.5% higher. STRONG VALUE— 14% under model, high deposit density

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3. MULTI-TIER-3 DEPOSITS — the geometric-value thesis, ONE LISTING

Model fair value for 2+ tier-3 common deposits: the model applies a deposit-density multiplier (x1.074–1.079 for 6-8 deposit-tier points) on top of the slots-filled factor. A 3-slot deed with two T3 commons scores ~0.135 ETH. Segment sales: multi-T3 deeds median 0.1693 ETH over 72 ETH sales (low 0.0717). #14907 · OpenSea Listing #14907 | Mr. Deeds #14907 Ask: 0.147 ETH · model 0.135 — 9% over Slots (three filled, two tier-3 deposits): Whisper — T3 deposit · 1,977 of 11,289 Whisper deposits are T3 (only 17.5%)Luster — T1 deposit · 5,740 of 11,267 are T1Whisper ×2 — T3 deposit (same resource, second slot) Environment: Ruins — Decay family, mid-band · Tier 2 of 5 Sediment: Chemical Goo (2nd rarest of 5) · Sediment Tier 2 of 3 Why: two tier-3 deposits on the same common resource (Whisper). Only 3.97% of deeds have 2+ tier-3 deposits. The speculative crafting thesis: if deposit tiers compound geometrically (T3 = 9× a T1 in output), two T3s on one deed could be a farm-score outlier. The ask sits 9% over the model's hedonic sum — the market is pricing the multi-T3 scarcity, but not at the segment's 0.1693 median. FAIR PRICE— ask slightly above model, multi-T3 scarcity

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4. BIOGENIC SEDIMENT — the proximity premium, GOOD VALUE

Model fair value for Biogenic (no other drivers): 0.0887 × 1.136 × 1.326 (bio) = ~0.133 ETH for a plain Biogenic deed. Segment sales: Biogenic median 0.16 ETH over 201 ETH sales (low 0.078). #6865 · OpenSea Listing #6865 | Mr. Deeds #6865 Ask: 0.1199 ETH · model 0.1422 — 16% under Slots: zero filled Environment: Mycelium — Growth family, mid-band · Tier 2 of 5 · 2,358 exist; 327 hard-locked + 101 soft-locked in whale wallets → ~1,930 functionally available Sediment: Biogenic Swamp (RAREST of 5 sediments — only 10,000 exist, half the supply of any other) · Sediment Tier 2 of 3 Why: Biogenic Swamp is the innermost ring on the map, surrounding the Yacht Club — the only sediment with a consistent market premium (scarcity + proximity story). This deed has zero resources, so the ask is pure Biogenic value. At 0.1199 it sits 16% under the model's 0.1422 and 25% under the segment's 0.16 median. Entry-level Biogenic exposure. STRONG VALUE— 16% under model, pure Biogenic play

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5. LARGE PLOTS (TIER 4-5) — the builder angle, UNDERAPPRECIATED

Model fair value for tier-4 plots: the model applies envtier_grad (x1.047–1.203 depending on the environment) — a modest premium. Tier-5 gets x1.311 (tier5 feature). Segment sales: env tier 4-5 deeds median 0.129 ETH over 523 ETH sales (low 0.0672). Thesis: plot size is the builder axis — tier 5 is the largest plot (only ~10% of any environment), and each tier ships with progressively richer default graphical assets (more structures, flora, landmarks out of the box). A large plot in a scarce environment is a doubly scarce venue for hosting/visitation (the one-year anniversary was hosted ON a deed). The market currently prices plot size at almost no premium — a potential mispricing if the visitation/builder thesis plays out. #32450 · OpenSea Listing #32450 | Mr. Deeds #32450 Ask: 0.1126 ETH · model 0.1065 — 6% over Slots (one filled): Runa — T2 deposit · 3,434 of 11,086 Runa deposits are T2 Environment: Molten — Volcanic family, common band · Tier 4 of 5 · 810 tier-4 Molten exist; 114 hard-locked + 26 soft-locked → ~670 functionally available Sediment: Cosmic Dream (2nd most common of 5) · Sediment Tier 2 of 3 Why: tier-4 plot (large buildable area) on a common environment, priced 6% over model. The model's tier premium is minimal (x1.047), but the builder thesis says large plots are undervalued — this is the cheapest tier-4 listing in the scan. FAIR PRICE— ask slightly over model, cheapest large plot

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#32389 · OpenSea Listing #32389 | Mr. Deeds #32389 Ask: 0.1136 ETH · model 0.1145 — 0.8% under Slots (one filled): Moldium — T1 deposit · 5,722 of 11,171 are T1 Environment: Sands — Spirit family, common band · Tier 4 of 5 · 668 tier-4 Sands exist; 108 hard-locked + 21 soft-locked → ~539 functionally available Sediment: Cosmic Dream (2nd most common of 5) · Sediment Tier 3 of 3 Why: tier-4 plot, ask right at model value. Sands is a common environment, but only 668 tier-4 Sands exist (vs 3,023 total Sands) — the tier-specific scarcity the visitation thesis cares about. GOOD VALUE— ask at model, tier-4 plot

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6. MEDIUM ARTIFACTS — scarcity collecting, MARKET PRICED

Model fair value for a medium-class artifact (no other drivers): the model applies x1.294 (art_medium) BUT many medium artifacts are market-anchored — the segment's own sales out-vote trait math. Camp Fire, Fire Sale Scroll, Glass Eye, Ancient Coin (common class) all carry additive market components (0.0223–0.0305 ETH added to the deed's other traits). Segment sales: artifact deeds median 0.151 ETH over 400 ETH sales (low 0.065). The cheapest artifact listings in the scan (0.1302–0.1352) are all medium-class artifacts on plain deeds, priced at or slightly above their market-anchored values. No strong value — the market has already priced these.

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WHAT'S OVERVALUED

Rare resources above 0.165: the cheapest rare-carrying deed sits at 0.165 ETH, 40% over the model's 0.118 for that specific deed. The segment's ETH-sale median (0.1987) is 68% over the model's typical rare-t1 output (~0.118). The market is front-running the resource-system utility thesis — fair if you believe in it, but the numbers show asks well above sales-supported value. Medium artifacts above 0.14 (unless combined with rare resources / tier 4-5 / rare environment): medium artifacts have no utility thesis (pure scarcity collecting), and the market-anchored components for the common medium types (Camp Fire, Fire Sale Scroll) add only 0.022–0.030 ETH. A medium artifact on a plain deed at 0.14+ is paying for scarcity the model doesn't support unless the deed has real substance elsewhere.

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BOTTOM LINE — where our estimates find the most value

1. PURE RESOURCE GAMER (0.13–0.155 ETH): four filled slots, multi-T3 common deposits. Best picks: #28665 (0.13, at model, max slots + one T3) and #32496 (0.1332, 14% under model, all T2 deposits = high deposit density). 2. BIOGENIC ENTRY (0.12 ETH): #6865 — zero resources, pure Biogenic Swamp exposure, 16% under model and 25% under the segment's 0.16 median. 3. BUILDER ANGLE (0.1126–0.1136 ETH): tier-4 plots on common environments. #32450 (Molten T4, 6% over model) and #32389 (Sands T4, at model). WELL ABOVE MODEL: rare-resource deeds at current asks (0.165+) — the market is pricing the utility thesis at a 40–68% premium over sales-supported value. The numbers least support paying that premium today unless you're willing to hold through the resource-system launch and beyond.

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Prices move fast and this is automated market information and statistical model opinion — not investment, financial, or legal advice.