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Otherdeed #4451 — Bog
decay family

OTHERDEED EXPANDED#4451

A tier-2 plot in Bog — the most common ground in Otherside
Bog terrain, tier 2 Bog · tier 2
Model estimate 0.2505ETH indicative range 0.2106 – 0.3644 · 80% of held-out prints on this path and tier fell inside (411 prints)
Listed at 0.847ETH +238.2% vs estimate
See the math
  • Collection floor lowest live ask0.0915
  • Base intercept (aligns the floor with real sale prices) how?×0.9589
  • Biogenic Swamp sediment n=195 measured×1.365
  • Rare resource at deposit tier 1 n=140 measured×1.167
  • Additional rare deposits — pooled count adjustment 19 broad-group sales×1.422
  • All four resource slots filled n=199 measured×1.201
  • Total deposit density 5 n=179 measured×1.011
  • Resource scarcity — 721 exist n=265 measured×1.038
  • Model estimate0.2505 ETH
  • coefficients 2026-09-02 (2,114 sales · 180d) · recalibrated 2026-09-21 · b365
Plot size · tier 2 of 5
T1 30%
T2 25%
T3 20%
T4 14%
T5 10%
1,676 of 6,775 Bog plots are tier 2
Resource rank
#14,489 of 100,000 · top 14.5%
#1#50,000#100,000
How stable is this rank?
ranges #11,430–#33,454 — read the range, not the rank. Holds #12,493–#20,900 under nearby assumptions and #11,430–#33,454 under stress — the rank is the baseline; the range is across the tested settings, not a bound.
DepositEffective supplyIndex valueShare
Scumbria T12,22515.3345%
Oblivion T133,2031.033%
Mossmoon T12,27215.0144%
Moldium T233,9013.029%

effective supply S = n₁ + 3·n₂ + 9·n₃ · deposit value = 34,100 ÷ S × 3tier−1 · index = sum of the four slots (34.38). This rank sees the four resource slots and nothing else — not the environment, not the plot size, not the artifact. It is not a price, and it does not feed the model estimate. Method & assumptions.

Artifact
None
this plot holds no artifact
Resource density
4 of 4 slots · tier sum 5/12
Denser than 77% of the whole collection · average 1.8 slots
Rare resources
Scumbria tier 1
721 exist · 14 listed from 0.192 · 735 exist · 19 listed from 0.1684
northern deposit
Scumbria tier 1
RARE
383 of 749 deposits · 51%
eastern deposit
Oblivion tier 1
5,570 of 10,911 deposits · 51%
southern deposit
Mossmoon tier 1
RARE
403 of 772 deposits · 52%
western deposit
Moldium tier 2
3,477 of 11,171 deposits · 31%
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Comparable listings

Nearest mainland profiles currently for sale — by the traits that drive price

DeedProfileAskEstimateGap
Otherdeed #97036#97036 Bog T2 · 4 slots · tier sum 6/12 · Mossmoon T2 rare · Mossmoon T2 rare — different resources 0.410.2206 +85.9%
Otherdeed #93365#93365 Bog T2 · 2 slots · tier sum 5/12 · Scumbria T3 rare — different resources 0.2790.1358 +105.5%
Otherdeed #9829#9829 Bog T2 · 2 slots · tier sum 3/12 · Mossmoon T1 rare · Mossmoon T2 rare · Biogenic — different resources 0.3470.2395 +44.9%
Otherdeed #70963#70963 Bog T2 · 4 slots · tier sum 5/12 · Santiago [rare artifact] — no rare resource, has an artifact 0.6360.2807 +126.6% · few sales
Otherdeed #84008#84008 Bog T2 · 4 slots · tier sum 7/12 — no rare resource 0.29380.1141 +157.5%

Mainland peers only. Nearest by plot size, then rare resources, then artifact, then density — each row says what differs. Gap is ask versus model estimate; a negative gap is not a recommendation — see disclosures. 3 far-out asks omitted — listings more than 3× their own estimate are valid asks but not useful comparables.

Model estimate — not financial advice

This page is automated market data. It is not investment advice, not an appraisal, and not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold. We are not a broker, dealer, investment adviser or appraiser, and no advisory relationship is created by using this site.

You can lose money, including everything you spend. NFTs are speculative and illiquid; this collection trades at low daily volume, a single sale can move quoted prices, and you may be unable to sell at any price. Only spend what you can afford to lose entirely.

The estimate is a statistical figure derived from past sales — an opinion, not a value, offer or guarantee. Actual prices routinely differ. Past performance does not predict future results.

Trait utility is evolving, not guaranteed: Yuga Labs gave Environment Tier and Sediment Tier concrete gameplay functions in Legends of the Mara, and has announced a resource system connecting the 74 resources, coming online in 2026 — no exact launch date or mechanics for individual resources, deposit tiers or artifacts have been published. Final trait utility in the persistent Otherside remains subject to change; scarcity should not be assumed to imply future utility or value.

Data comes from third-party sources and may be stale or wrong. Figures as of 2026-09-21 08:25 UTC. About · Contact · Full disclosures · Privacy · Technical methodology · Report archive · Weekly market update.

Built 2026-09-21 08:25 UTC · b365 · Trait data chain-deduplicated to exactly 100,000 plots · Artwork and trait data © Yuga Labs · api.otherside.xyz · @MrDeedsXYZ